Russia Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Committee, “Fair RussiaMikhail Delyagin, a member of the party, in his speech on the state channel “Russia-24” proposed to bomb Baku. Deputy He called Azerbaijan a “US satellite” and a “Turkish proxy.” and To Russia snowHe stressed that this is a real source of danger. “It simply came to our notice then according to If we do not punish Azerbaijan unequivocally…gas Why does the industry need it? Not necessary. If people do not understand the word, then it is necessary to explain it with concrete action. If we don’t, then we won’t be, you know ?! Now the issue should be raised only in this way, “Delyagin said.
Azerbaijan Milli The parliament, the Foreign Ministry and the embassy in Moscow did not respond to Delyagin’s provocative calls. Only today the Prosecutor General’s Office opened a criminal case against Mikhail Delyagin snowHe was charged under Article 3 of the Criminal Code of the Republic of Azerbaijan and has been declared internationally wanted.
Yesterday, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters that, deputys views do not coincide with Russia’s state policy. Russia Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharov also called Delyagin’s comments “unacceptable.” After the official position, the deputy chairman of the committee social apologized by spreading an appeal from the network account.
As for M. Delyagin’s forehead, he is not an ordinary deputy, but Azerbaijan snowHe is said to be a member of the Russian Military Intelligence Service (GRU), which has always been known for its aggressive attitude. According to sources, he is close to Vladislav Surkov, one of the main leaders of the GRU.
Observers and experts do not consider it accidental that a high-ranking official from the Russian state channel called for an attack on Azerbaijan. Most opinions are as follows that, In fact, this position is expressed in Russia political Go to the elite stems from discussions. Then the question arises: is there a real threat from Russia to Azerbaijan? The Kremlin may use force against Azerbaijan to divert attention from its failure in Ukraine.gas can target infrastructure?
Political commentator Rauf Mirkadirov told Pressklub.az that, Putin As long as Russia exists, it will remain a serious threat to neighboring countries. “Because the ideology of Putinism is based on aggression. I do not think so that, Currently, the Kremlin has plans to attack and bomb Azerbaijan. The statements about targeting the Azerbaijani oil industry are also unconvincing. But of course that, this is Russia political is an issue discussed in the elite “– the expert emphasized.
Mirkadirov bases this opinion on the fact that Russia’s foreign economic relations are currently at a minimum level: “The country’s only source of foreign exchange earnings is oil and gas. Currently, Russia’s position in the world energy market has serious problems. Russian oilgaswhich is the main buyer of Europe The union, the United States is trying to give up its energy carriers. In the future, these steps will create serious problems for Russia. It’s about him that, Following these sanctions, the main importers of Russian energy carriers are Asian countries, primarily India and It will be China. They will take advantage of the situation and buy these products from Russia at a low price. Azerbaijan itself exports energy and has strategic transit opportunities. It is true that our country does not have the opportunity to significantly change the volume of exports. This is another important issue for Azerbaijan that, can become a hub for the transmission of energy to the world market. Countries rich in hydrocarbon resources, such as Iran, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan, can export their wealth to world markets through Azerbaijan. This problem has always existed for Russia. Not accidental that, Russia is always from Azerbaijan Europe opposed the pipelines that would export oil and gas to the markets. For this reason, the construction of the Trans-Caspian oil and gas pipeline was not possible. For a long time, no agreement was reached on the legal status of the Caspian Sea. Thus, the problem of finding the wealth of Asian countries through world markets through Azerbaijan has always been on the agenda of the Russian political elite.
A political analyst does not rule it out that, Specific plans have been developed to prevent promising transit opportunities. “We must always consider this threat real,” he said and we must take steps to prevent it “– he noted.
Rauf Mirkadirov believes that, Ukraine Depending on the outcome of the crisis, Turkey’s influence in the region may increase. This means further strengthening of Azerbaijan’s security: “It simply came to our notice then that, Ukraine Global events around the world will create a new picture of the international security system. We can already predict what it will be like. As you can see, Ukraine requires additional guarantees for their own safety. At the same time, it emphasizes the international status of these guarantees. This issue creates new opportunities. If they can hunt down Russia’s nose, Ukraine will create a security system around it that will ensure its inviolability. This means great opportunities in the post-Soviet region. Of course that, This is well understood in Russia as well. Of course, in this case, Turkey’s role in the South Caucasus may increase. That is, Turkey’s participation in the creation of a new security configuration will be ensured. At the same time, Turkey’s role in ensuring Azerbaijan’s security will increase. This is a serious blow to Russia’s interests. ”
Political scientist Arastun Orujlu also believes that, Mikhail Delyagin’s threats against Azerbaijan should not be taken as ordinary nonsense. The expert gave several reasons to substantiate his opinion:
“Russia is not a country where any politician can make such statements arbitrarily;
What he is saying is a clear threat and It is a warning targeting Azerbaijan’s energy infrastructure;
This is not the first time such a statement has been made by Russia. Earlier, similar threats were voiced by political scientist Sergei Mikheev, a regular “client” of the notorious Vladimir Solovyov’s programs;
- Mikheev is one of Russia’s leading Caspian experts;
Currently, energy issues are a priority for Russia due to sanctions;
Due to the alleged accident at the Novorossiysk terminal, the volume of Kazakh oil shipments was reduced by 1 million barrels per day. Russia says it will take up to two months to repair;
Under the circumstances, Astana is trying to transport some of the oil to Baku by tankers and pump it into the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline;
According to A. Orujlu according toThus, in the current situation, it is important for Russia to eliminate all possible alternatives: “We have repeatedly stressed the importance of the energy factor in the geopolitical developments around the region. Including the pipelines at Azerbaijan’s disposal for their transportation. Due to the “accident” at the Novorossiysk terminal, the price of oil, which Kazakhstan will not be able to export within the promised two months, is 6 billion. will be above $. Russia is trying to force Kazakhstan to use its pipelines that, In this case, Brent Kazakh oil should be mixed with Russian Ural oil, which is much cheaper than it.
According to the political scientist, this threat is aimed at discouraging our country from exporting Kazakh oil through the Caspian Sea via the BTC. According to him according toProvocations against Azerbaijan’s oil and gas infrastructure have happened before, but unfortunately that, all of them weather were presented as accidents caused by the conditions. “She is OK that, At this stage, security measures should be strengthened, especially in the Caspian Sea, especially on days when the sea is rough. – A. Orujlu emphasized.