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Russia entrusts Karabakh issue to God …

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Moscow is expected to react to the West’s increasing involvement in the peace talks between Azerbaijan and Armenia. Remember that, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken Azerbaijan in the last two weeks and He spoke to Armenian leaders on the phone twice. There were two main issues on his agenda:

First, to ensure stability in the region, to prevent escalation;

Secondly, Azerbaijan and Armenia should try to solve its problems only through bilateral diplomatic contacts.

Blinken He said the United States intends to increase support for the process. He noted that his statements did not contain any statements about the format of the Minsk Group, as well as the status of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Europe The union shares the same position with the United States and The agreements reached at the Aliyev-Pashinyan meeting in Brussels are based only on a bilateral format. Brussels is also not interested in Russia’s traditional role in the process. As EU Council President Charles Michel said, Azerbaijan and Armenian Foreign Ministries must work on a peace agreement, delimitation of borders and Only a commission set up by the two countries by the end of April should deal with the demarcation. The position of the West is in the interests of Azerbaijan, and the public reaction to the Brussels meeting expresses support for the government’s policy.

The situation in Armenia is quite complicated. The Pashtun government is under pressure from both the opposition and the separatist regime in Karabakh, as well as Russia. Former presidents R. Kocharyan and Opposition organizations led by Sargsyan held a rally in the center of Yerevan on March 5, a day before the Brussels meeting. action made ultimatums to the Pashinyan government. To the authorities in the speeches on the square snowIt was said that all methods of struggle would be used.

After the meeting, the opposition began to receive support from other segments of society, experts and political scientists of the former elite say that the Brussels meeting was a failure for Armenia.

Political scientist Tigran Grigoryan said that, Charles Michel’s statement “From Nagorno-Karabakh” and Not a word is said about the Karabakh conflict. He thinks that, this point is a cause for serious concern. According to Grigoryan, this is evident from the statements of the Armenian government, as well as Charles Michel that, The Armenian side has withdrawn from the two principled positions it stated earlier.

“First of all, when we read the text of this statement, we understand that, delimitation of the border and A commission for demarcation will be established without the application of any stabilization mechanisms. The statement said that, delimitation of this commission and In addition to demarcation, it will deal with ensuring stability at the border. In my opinion, this provision was added to purify Pashkina. In essence, this is a defeat for the Armenian side. “.

According to the political scientist, the second position of Armenia’s withdrawal is Pashkina’s refusal to negotiate under the auspices of the OSCE Minsk Group:

“It simply came to our notice then that, in fact the Prime Minister of Armenia and The President of Azerbaijan has instructed his foreign ministers to prepare for peace talks. However, the statement did not say that the talks would be held under the auspices of the OSCE Minsk Group. In general, the name of the OSCE Minsk Group is not mentioned.

Nicole Pashinyan said at a government meeting on April 7 that, Ensuring the security of the “Nagorno-Karabakh people”, its rights and The protection of freedoms, as well as the clarification of the final status of “Nagorno-Karabakh” are included in the answers of the Armenian side to the peace agenda and should be the subject of negotiations. According to Pashinyan according tothe participation of the Minsk Group in this process is necessary and The Armenian side must continue to work in this direction.

Apparently, part of the Armenian society considers the Brussels agreements a failure. Pashinyan, who agreed to a bilateral process with Azerbaijan only two days ago, withdrew from his position and resigned and He talks about the mediation of the Minsk Group.

Of course, this contradictory position shows that the prime minister is in a difficult situation, trying to make some maneuvers to get out of the situation.

As for Russia’s serious dissatisfaction with the Brussels talks, today Moscow Sergey Lavrov, who met with his Armenian counterpart Ararat Mirzoyan, said this openly. The Minister said that, Russia It is ready to help create the necessary conditions for the signing of a final peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia. He stressed later that, delimitation of borders between the parties and A commission on demarcation will be established soon.

Lavrov Pashinyan and He also drew a line under the Armenian opposition’s hopes for the Minsk Group. Said that, USA and France Within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group Russia refused to cooperate with According to him according tosuch a rusufob approach Russia Applies to all issues related to: “The French in the Minsk Group and Our American partners have stated that they will not contact us in this format. If they are in Karabakh and regulatory interests in the South Caucasus as a whole victim If they are willing to give, it is their choice. We want to resolve the situation in Karabakh and Armenia, Azerbaijan and We are committed to the implementation of all agreements reached between the leaders of the Russian Federation in a tripartite format. This choice is not ours. And if France and If the United States decides, God will be their judge “.

Thus, Lavrov called on Armenia and, indirectly, Azerbaijan to return to the trilateral format established with the participation of Russia after the 44-day war. Of course, the Kremlin’s pressure mechanisms are not just diplomatic. Armenia’s former opposition political The elite, the media under its control, as well as Russia’s monopoly power in the country’s economy are a serious threat to Pashinyan. Under the auspices of the West, the Prime Minister has already pushed the button to distance himself from peace with Azerbaijan. Held in Yerevan on April 5 protest action is the first signal, snowIt is possible that post-war scenes will be repeated in the Armenian capital in the coming weeks. Pashinyan is currently in this situation snowis trying to create an image of retreating from the positive positions he expressed in Brussels in order to get the glass. The prime minister now needs plenty of time that, Ukraine In the crisis, the position of the “ally” should be further weakened and reduce previous opportunities and pressures in the region. It is unclear whether the Kremlin will give him this chance.

Turqut



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