Russia is exhausted, the initiative has passed to Ukraine
Russia to Ukraine on February 24 snowTwo months have passed since the war he started. The result to date is the occupation of the Kherson region, the capture of the city of Mariupol and consists of the capture of several small towns. The Kremlin strategists’ lightning-fast victory strategy has completely failed. That’s it Kyiv retreat from the province and in two months Russia also confirms the losses suffered by the armed forces.
Ukraine To the latest statement from the General Staff of the Armed Forces according toRussia’s 22 as a result of wars 100 servicemen were neutralized. In addition, 918 tanks, 2,308 armored combat vehicles, 416 artillery systems, 149 RYAS (rocket launchers), 69 weather attack defense system, 184 military aircraft, 154 helicopters, 1,643 vehicles, 8 ships / boats, 76 fuel tanks, 205 drones, 31 special equipment and 4 operational-tactical missile complexes were destroyed. Military experts calculate that, Russia the value of military equipment lost by the army so far 21 billion more than a dollar.
SnowIn Shi, there is the next stage of the war. Britain and U.S. strategists believe that, Ukraine The armed forces will attack the frontline after exhausting the enemy. Britain intelligence information according toAt present, the potential of the Russian army to continue its attacks is around 30 percent and in these reserves snowwill be rapidly depleted in the coming weeks. As a result, it has acquired the most modern weapons of Western countries Ukraine The army will soon be able to take control of the entire Donbas region.
Editor-in-Chief of Senzor.net portal, social Yuri Butusov, a military blogger with hundreds of thousands of followers on the Internet, analyzed the results of the past two months. O, Putin He compared the goals set by the government in Ukraine with the current real situation. The blogger also expressed his expectations for the development trajectory of the process:
- The main administrative centers – Kyiv and The siege of Kharkov, forcing the Ukrainian leadership to surrender, achieving disorganization of the country’s administration;
The result: the goals were not achieved, the Ukrainian leadership continues the war, Kyiv and Kharkiv is reliably protected.
- Violation of the possibility of effective deployment of Ukrainian military forces by carrying out systematic attacks in 11 regions;
The result: goals have not been achieved, Ukraine continues to mobilize forces for victory.
- NATO west of Kiev to prevent countries from sending military equipment to Ukraine and Cutting of strategic highways north of Krivoy Rog to Ukraine;
The result: goals have not been achieved, Ukraine has maintained its communications, NATO also continues its military support.
- Black Sea of Ukraine and Capture of Azov seaports, creation of a corridor from Russia to the Transnistrian region;
The result: the goals were partially achieved – the shores of the Sea of Azov were captured, but Nikolayev and The defense of the Odessa region continues and major seaports are reliably protected.
- To shake Ukraine’s economy in order for it to give up organized resistance and to discourage society;
The result: goals have not been achieved, the economy has received great support from the West, society is leading the war to victory, all political The forces are focused on fighting the enemy.
- Destruction of the defense system, military infrastructure;
The result: the goals were not achieved, the Ukrainian army NATO began to receive large military aid from their countries and significantly increased combat capability. Proved by documents that, within two months Russia It lost more than 3,200 military vehicles and these losses compensation can’t.
- Donetsk and Capture of Luhansk oblasts;
The result: the goals were not achieved, and two months later Ukraine invaded large areas of the Donbas and continues to defend many major cities.
Yuri Butusov notes that, thus, from a strategic point of view, Putin He failed to achieve any of his goals in Ukraine. According to him according toRussia, all NATO countries and involved in the genocide war against Ukraine, which has the support of dozens of times more resource-rich countries: “The capture of Mariupol will not change Russia’s strategic position in any way and will only lead to tougher resistance. Ukraine will completely refuse concessions. In addition, after the Western supply of modern weapons, the technological advantage in the war will gradually shift to the Ukrainian side that, as a result of which Russia suffered heavy losses and will cause the army to lose its ability to maintain the occupied territories “.
Y. Butusov adds that, to continue the war Putin will have to partially mobilize. Under the current sanctions, the move will do even more damage to the Russian economy and It will discourage Russian society. The military journalist is convinced that, Ukraine has already seized a strategic initiative in the war. “Russia is still that, is capable of some tactical success, but can not achieve any of its initial goals “– he noted.
Butusova according toPutin’s strategy has failed and After that, Ukraine has no chance to collapse: “Successful continuation of the war is Ukraine’s current material and It depends on the competent use of human resources, the ability to plan, as well as the resources of weapons from abroad, the scale of attracting professional military personnel “.
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