‘Russia will try to capture Mariupol, which can not besiege Kiev’
Ukraine The General Staff announced on March 15 that, Russia his own Smolensk, and Belarus’ Gomel and He set up training centers for mercenaries in Bobruisk
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) in Russia snowmonitors the war. Statements of the warring parties, evidence, social publishes an analysis of the current situation on the basis of information disseminated in networks.
The agency said in an analysis released on March 15 that, Russia It is unlikely that its forces will besiege Kiev in the coming weeks. To do this, larger offensive operations must be carried out, not scattered. For now, additional tactical attacks can be carried out. Last days KyivNo major offensive operations have taken place in the north-east.
Mariupol
But it is not ruled out that Russia will capture the city of Mariupol. Institute Russia that their forces had completely besieged Mariupol, from the west of the city every day and reports attacks from the east. The siege is so strong that, It does not seem realistic that the city’s defenders will tear it down or that Ukraine will come to its aid. “Despite the strong defense of the Ukrainians, Russian forces will most likely be able to capture Mariupol or force it to surrender.” – reports the institute.
It is said in the analysis that, Russian forces trying to lay siege to Kharkov are facing a shortage of ammunition.
“The information about the complete capture of Kherson region on March 15 is false, there was no major attack on Zaporozhye or Nikolaev,” he said. – notes the institution.
Institute of Odessa, Russia snowHe also does not consider the landing operation realistic, saying that a land connection with the city will be provided earlier. However, Russian Marines are able to land along the Black Sea coast.
To make up for the loss of battle
For information according toRussian forces have difficulty recruiting to make up for combat losses, including those in conscription and trying to use international forces.
Ukraine Russia’s so-called “Donetsk and In the Luhansk People’s Republics, it is forced to suspend the mobilization of certain categories of workers, but recruits some residents.
Ukraine The General Staff announced on March 15 that, Russia owns Smolensk and Belarus owns Gomel and He set up training centers for mercenaries in Bobruisk.
In 2014, Moscow annexed Ukraine’s Crimea region and began supporting separatists in the east of the country. And on February 22 this year President Vladimir Putin He recognized those separatist organizations and launched an attack on Ukraine two days later.