The Prime Minister of Armenia Nicole Pashinyan at an online press conference last night To Azerbaijan made accusations against. He said that Azerbaijan In order to legitimize the new war against Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh, it constantly delays, postpones or rejects meetings on the peace agreement, delimitation and security of borders, and the opening of regional communications. According to him, Azerbaijan The party refused to hold a meeting in Brussels today. Azerbaijan openly refuses dialogue with Armenia.
Pashinyan claims that Azerbaijan is preparing for a new war, and this war seems inevitable:
“Armenia offer that is iron way Azerbaijan to sign document on construction This is to insure Armenia’s financial expenses, but Azerbaijan refuses to do so. The Azerbaijani side did not respond to the offer to meet with Armenia at the level of foreign ministers. Azerbaijan is trying to resolve the issue in such a way that Armenia to remain under blockade “.
Today, well-known Armenian political scientist Stepan Grigoryan claimed that Azerbaijan wants to legitimize its new attack on Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia. According to Grigoryan, even in such a situation Armenia can be occupied. The political scientist noted that currently the relations between the major players in the region remain tense, and in such a situation, small players may face great danger:
“After the war, the international community was both at war and at war To Azerbaijan As the attitude is quite negative, Azerbaijan is currently working to explain that Armenia does not want peace, delimitation and demarcation of the border. So, whether we like it or not, we have to be in these processes and never say no. “.
Another Armenian political scientist, Benjamin Pogosyan, said that Armenia was not able to ensure the security of Armenians in Karabakh independently. According to the political scientist, if there are no foreign troops in Nagorno-Karabakh, most likely, Azerbaijan will occupy this territory. According to Pogosyan, in such circumstances, the Armenian side should focus on two issues: to do everything possible to ensure the constant presence of foreign troops in Nagorno-Karabakh and to prevent the reduction of the number of Armenians in the 3,000 square kilometers, at least rapidly: “We must focus on these two issues, the rest is beyond our reach.”.
In fact, what happened, why did Azerbaijan refuse the planned meeting in Brussels?
The failed meeting about Pashkina was scheduled to take place in Brussels yesterday between Presidential Aide Hikmet Hajiyev and Armenian Security Council Secretary Armen Grigoryan. But Baku refused this meeting. According to informed diplomatic sources, there are real reasons for Baku’s refusal. “If the Armenian side makes contradictory statements every day and continues to talk about the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairing mechanism, To Azerbaijan If there are territorial claims against it, then what is the point of holding meetings? And Europe EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus Toivo Klaar’s statements should be checked “– said a source familiar with the negotiation process.
Official Baku He strongly opposes the holding of talks on Karabakh in the format of the Minsk Group and has repeatedly stated his position at the highest level. Despite this, USA even the participation of mediators in the process Russia declares the importance of cooperation in this matter.
Visiting the region on June 15-19 USA Secretary of State Europe and Eurasian Assistant Karen Donfried said in an interview with Armenian media: “USA He is one of the co-chairs of the Minsk Group, which plays an important role in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. We are still committed to this process. we Europe We also see that the union plays an important role. Therefore, I think this is an important moment for the region, and we will do everything possible to help Armenia achieve peace. “
Visiting Baku on June 23-24 Russia Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov responded negatively to the US official’s proposal:
“The OSCE Minsk Group has suspended its activities. This was initiated by the United States and France. But, of course, we discussed the process of post-conflict settlement. The basis of this process Russia, Azerbaijan and Armenia It is a tripartite statement by the leaders. “
Despite Russia’s high-level refusal, the US State Department’s Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs issued a statement on its Twitter account regarding the OSCE Minsk Group:
“The OSCE Minsk Group has held talks with the co-chairs to discuss the future of Nagorno-Karabakh. Unfortunately, the Russian co-chair did not accept the invitation. We will continue our efforts to restore the work of the OSCE Minsk Group. “
It should be noted that there has been a cardinal change in the position of the European Union (EU). This change can be seen in the statement of the EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus and the crisis in Georgia Toivo Klaar: “It is impossible to achieve a comprehensive settlement without taking into account the views of the Armenians of Karabakh. I think that in the end Karabakh Armenians should be a part of the solution. It is quite clear that the people living in Karabakh are fundamentally interested in achieving a comprehensive settlement. I personally do not see how such an arrangement can be achieved without taking into account the views and opinions of these people. President Michelle did not say much in the statement. This statement did not cover all issues that need to be addressed. But the fact is that we have always stressed the need for a comprehensive solution to the conflict. We are working in this direction “.
Thus, the position of both the United States and the European Union is diametrically opposed to the position of official Baku. As a result, Hikmet Hajiyev refused to meet with Armen Grigoryan. Probably the foreign ministers scheduled for July and With Ilham Aliyev Nicole Pashina’s meeting is also in question.
Russia did not miss the opportunity and immediately stepped in. Lavrov’s visit to the region and his statement in Baku that “the Minsk Group has suspended its activities” are trying to extend its position with Azerbaijan and stop the Brussels format. The fact that Hikmet Hajiyev did not go to the meeting with Grigoryan shows that a new process has already begun.
Let’s wait and see what Russia will give to the parties to restore their positions. After the construction of the alternative road Lachin corridor Of Azerbaijan Statements about the transfer of control, the evacuation of cities and villages can be considered the first signal. Pashinyan He also confirmed that Armenians living in those areas will be relocated and the state will provide them with housing. But it is questionable whether they will be relocated to areas where Russian peacekeepers are temporarily staying. Prime Minister also did not specify. In short, new contradictions and tensions await us. Unfortunately, the position of the West is growing Of Azerbaijan has begun to turn against its interests, and Moscow is also trying to use the opportunity for its own interests.