“Signing the peace agreement between Baku and Yerevan does not solve the conflict” |

“Most likely, tension is expected, not a peace agreement, by the end of the year in Armenia”

Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev To the Italian newspaper “Il Sole 24 Ore”. interviewsaid that until the end of 2022 Baku It is possible to sign a peace agreement between Armenia and Yerevan.

Inspiration According to Aliyev, for one month in Brussels Azerbaijan and Armenia Meetings of foreign ministers have been agreed in order to start practical negotiations on the peace agreement:

“This is what we put forward almost immediately after the end of the Second Karabakh war offer was We stated that we need peace, a peace agreement. It took Armenia about two years to agree on this. I think this was one of the most important results of the meeting. Of course, a lot will depend on the progress of these peace talks. What will be the time frame and content. I believe that we can conclude and sign a peace agreement within a few months. Armenia if the side shows the same will, I think it is realistic. We put forward five basic principles on which a peace agreement should be built and Armenia accepted it”.

Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan made a similar statement in a closed meeting with the members of his party. Prime Minister said that he will not give in to the pressure of the forces urging him not to do it.

“Turan“to the information of according to, Azerbaijan He stipulated the removal of all large-caliber weapons from Karabakh and Russian peacekeepers they insist on it.

The same issue was discussed in Khankendi on September 4. Separatist leader Araik Arutyunyan Karabakh forces military held a management meeting. They and the Armenian opposition of Karabakh Azerbaijan continue to state that they will not agree with its inclusion.

Political columnist Rauf Mirgadirov answered Meydan TV’s question about the possibility of signing a peace agreement that there is no obstacle to signing such a document in terms of the interests of both states and the resolution of the current conflict.

According to Rauf Mirgadirov, the main obstacle political arising from conjuncture:

“Political When I say conjuncture, I mean Armenia’s opposition and Russia I mean the factor. Inspiration Unlike Aliyev, Pashinyan depends more on internal forces. Even if every step he takes in the direction of peace actually meets the deep-rooted interests of Armenia, the opposition can declare treason. We also know that the opposition is controlled from Moscow. If the Kremlin is not against the agreement, there does not seem to be any serious obstacle. No, deal Europe If it is signed through the mediation of the union, it will go against Moscow. However, the peace agreement does not seriously affect the interests of Moscow. As it has troops in Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh, Moscow currently has significant influence on both states. The peace agreement will not seriously reduce those influence possibilities.

“The peace agreement will reflect the recognition of territorial integrity, the absence of territorial claims and non-interference in each other’s internal affairs. In principle, these provisions Baku and it does not change anything for Yerevan. Also, the peace agreement will be a text in accordance with international norms. In addition, Charles Michel called on foreign ministers to meet and work on a specific text in the next month. He hinted at the next meeting of the leaders after 2 months. At the next meeting, at least the text of the agreement will be revealed. Secondly, the establishment of diplomatic relations, the opening of communications, the Armenian separatists of Karabakh and Russia it will have no effect on the area where the peacekeepers are. If the Kremlin is not against the agreement, there is no serious obstacle,” said Mirgadirov.

According to him, discussion of the Karabakh issue with Armenia is unacceptable for Azerbaijan:

“Because Karabakh Azerbaijan since it is an internal problem, the issue should be resolved by ourselves. That is, it is possible to achieve this by creating communication channels with the Armenian community of Karabakh. We can only guess which option we will choose. i mean Baku Signing a peace agreement between Yerevan and Armenia does not resolve the conflict. Simply, the agreement could be a major step towards peace. The full resolution of the conflict is mostly related to the Karabakh Armenians and the Russian factor. Recent events, specifically, Russian businessman It is not an ordinary event for Vardanya to issue a political statement from Khankendi. He cannot make a political statement on his own. If you think about it, Vardanyan said that his goal is to eventually become the Prime Minister of Armenia. Undoubtedly, this factor can play its role. do you see Pashinyan he calls Putin after every meeting in Brussels, while Aliyev called once. Thus, in the future, if the Russian factor does not lose its importance, it will retain serious influence.”

But the conflictologist Arif Yunus ruled out the signing of the peace agreement this year and next year for many reasons.

Arif According to Yunus, the positions of the parties are far from each other:

“We have a wrong idea that Armenia Azerbaijan offer If he accepts the 5 principles and signs the peace agreement, the Karabakh issue will be completely resolved. I still leave the demarcation and demilitarization of borders aside. Although Azerbaijan is not at war with Georgia, the problem of borders remains. Let’s assume that Armenia recognized the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan and the border issue was resolved. This does not mean a solution to the Karabakh issue.”

Arif Yunus asks that the militants in Karabakh To Azerbaijan Will the separatists in Khankendi recognize the laws of Azerbaijan?

“Absolutely not, he doesn’t believe. Then we start the war again? After all, there Russian army there is Secondly, Armenia will defend the Armenian community. Third, in 1997 ex the president Levon Ter-Petrosyan also recognized Karabakh as the territory of Azerbaijan offer had done What happened, where is he now? Most likely, there is no peace agreement in Armenia until the end of the year, but tension is expected and this is the trend To Azerbaijan will also affect”.

Reminder

The last 44-day armed conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan 2020of November 10It ended with the agreement on a full ceasefire that entered into force in .

The history of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh and surrounding regions dates back to 1988.

During the first war between Azerbaijan and Armenia in the 1990s and in subsequent periods, the Azerbaijani side constantly accused Armenia of destroying cultural monuments.

2020After the second war, Azerbaijan accused Armenia of erasing cities, villages, and cemeteries from the face of the earth.