“If Pashinyan cannot explain this to his people…” – ANALYSIS OF THE LATEST SITUATION in Karabakh |
On the night of September 12-13 Azerbaijan and Armenia Kalbajar and in the direction of Lachin, which happened at the state borders that have not yet been confirmed military the conflict ended with the heaviest losses after the 44-day war. Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan he said that the number of killed Armenian soldiers is 49, but this number may change. Azerbaijan side 20He announced that nearly 0 Armenian soldiers were killed, and a large number of heavy equipment, including HHM systems, were disabled. Some of them have photos and video images are posted on Telegram channels.
As for losses, Azerbaijan Ministry of Defence has not released official information yet, but in social networks 8 of our soldiers martyr photos and information are shared.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Azerbaijan issued a statement at night, saying that Dashkasan, our state border of Armenia Kalbajarannounced that he had caused large-scale sabotage in the directions of Lachin and Zangilan.
According to official information, the cease-fire regime came into force today from 9:00 in the morning.
Russia Grigory Karasin, head of the International Committee of the Federation Council, said that the ceasefire was achieved thanks to Moscow’s efforts: “Including Russia President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan from the conversation between, Yerevan’s appeal to the CSMT and Russia The clashes stopped after the hard work of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs“.
USA Secretary of State Anthony Blinkenhis assistant, Karen Donfried, European Union called on the officials to immediately stop the clashes. Before that, the Prime Minister of Armenia Pashinyan France, USA and spoke by phone with Russian officials.
Political scientist Farhad Mammadov told Pressklub.az military He talked about the causes and possible consequences of the collision. He notes that a large number of events and processes took place that should be referred to in order to understand the motive of the provocation committed by Armenia on the conditional border:
“- Based on the results of the Brussels meeting on August 31, to prepare the text of the peace agreement by the end of the month Azerbaijan and Armenia a meeting of foreign ministers should be held;
– Russia became more active after the Brussels meeting – a telephone conversation between the presidents of Azerbaijan and Russia, a one-on-one meeting between Putin and Pashinyan was held in Vladivostok;
– Azerbaijan and Armenia its leaders were supposed to participate in the SCO summit to be held in Samarkand on September 15-16;
– USA Philip Ricker, the State Department’s chief adviser on the Caucasus, has arrived in the region. He was in Tbilisi yesterday and has to fly to Baku…
I mean, Armenia He is in such a situation that he has to make a decision. It does not matter whether this decision was mediated by Russia or Brussels. A decision to create a peace agenda should have been made.”.
The expert believes that in order to slow down the process in Yerevan, the option of wreaking havoc on the border was chosen: “According to this logic, it is also possible to drag Russia into the process with the CSTO. All these actions take place during Riker’s visit to Baku. Azerbaijan gave the harshest response, because the time allotted for negotiations is running out. Such bogus games of the Armenians regarding the agenda are calculated to “disturbing” the OSCE Minsk Group and to “awaken” the topic of “status”. Let’s take into account that Armenia still continues to maintain its armed units in Karabakh..
What will happen next?
F. Mammadov says that it depends on the leadership of Armenia: “If the Prime Minister of Armenia continues to take destructive steps to break the agreements, then Azerbaijan the answer will not be long in coming. It is also possible that the Armenian leadership could not explain the necessity of a peaceful agenda to its society in any other way, so the escalation will happen again way go to make a decision with One thing is clear Azerbaijan position is clear and consistent, supported by resources. Armenia’s position is widespread and contradictory. In such a situation, the forces that give hope to Armenia must convince the leadership of Yerevan that they must fulfill their obligations, otherwise, the new conditions will be more difficult. We expect the complete withdrawal of Armenian armed forces from Karabakh”.
According to the expert, if Armenia’s patrons continue to allow Armenian illusions to burn, it will first of all have a negative effect on Armenia itself. “These forces will bear the responsibility for the consequences that will emerge”F. Mammadov emphasized.
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