Pashinyan follows Putin’s path

October 21 in Sochi Russia indeed, the tripartite meeting initiated by President Vladimir Putin Azerbaijan–Armenia obstructed the peace talks between To come to such a conclusion in the last two weeks of Armenia political it is enough to pay attention to the statements made by the management. Prime Minister It is possible to see Putin’s main theses in Nikol Pashinyan’s speech.

It should be recalled that at the Valday forum held three days before the Sochi meeting, the Kremlin leader stated that the issue of the status of Karabakh should be postponed. Russia the mandate of the peacekeepers should be extended indefinitely.

After the Sochi meeting Armenia officials said that Azerbaijan President of Russia offer rejected his peace terms. In addition, the new status of peacekeepers and issues presented by Putin for discussion regarding Karabakh were skeptical. Let’s remember that as soon as he sat at the table with the head of the Kremlin Ilham Aliyev stated that Karabakh conflict ended two years ago, there is no need to open a discussion about it.

Inspiration Aliyev is irritated not only by these topics, but also by Moscow’s Karabakh Azerbaijan This time, it is a more open destructive policy against its sovereignty. Sending billionaire Ruben Vardanyan to Khankendi, promoting him in the Russian media, as well as in Khankendi To Azerbaijan organized against rallytransportation of ammunition through the corridor of Lachin, in addition, Armenia the leadership’s open support for this process made official Baku nervous. On November 8 Ilham Aliyev Shushada stated that he gave the other side 2 months, if the peace terms are not accepted by the end of the year, Azerbaijan will use force.

Nicole Pashinyan to work the president He presented Aliyev’s speech as a threat of “genocide” against the Armenians living in Karabakh, as well as Azerbaijan He warned that he was preparing to attack Karabakh.

Pashinyan continues this rhetoric, now it is possible to see all the main elements of Putin’s Vaday theses in his speech. Putin had said: “If the Armenian people and leadership believe that Karabakh has its own characteristics and these characteristics should be taken into account and discussed in the future peace agreement, this is also possible. It goes without saying that this should be agreed with Azerbaijan so that the agreements are acceptable to the other side as well.”

Prime Minister N.Pashinyan and on November 16, during the government hour in the parliament, he said:

“A detailed peace agreement may cause us difficulties. Armenia’s relations with Azerbaijan Karabakh Iravan’s agreement to separate from the issue Karabakh it does not mean giving up security and rights of Armenians. If we solve this problem, of course, the Republic of Armenia is ready to sign a framework peace agreement with Azerbaijan on the basis of mutual recognition of territorial integrity and sovereignty.

Prime Minister He indirectly mentioned why the issue of the status of Karabakh turned into a security and law issue: “The reason why we put forward not the issue of status, but the issue of ensuring the security and rights of Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians is that we accept Russia’s position”.

As for Russia’s proposals, Pashinyan says that the government’s position on this issue is similar to the opposition and the positions voiced in Karabakh, and Armenia has already agreed to this proposal. Offer and this is: to postpone the Karabakh issue for an indefinite period.

“The government accepted this agreement a long time ago, from January 2021. But he did not talk about it for the sake of correctness. Russia I am grateful to the president of the Federation for giving us the opportunity to explain the topic.”

France, a member of the Minsk Group, is another country that “puts a stone under the heel” of the Armenian leadership. On November 15 France In the resolution adopted unanimously by all factions in the Senate UN requirements that are contrary to the charter and international law are included:

– Azerbaijan should withdraw from the territory of Armenia and the Lachin corridor;

– France the government should open a humanitarian office in Nagorno-Karabakh;

– The independence of the “Nagorno-Karabakh Republic” should be recognized;

– Armenia-Azerbaijan on the border peacekeeping forces of international status should be deployed.

Of course, this resolution is of a recommendation nature, so that it enters into legal force the president E. Macron must approve it. But the document in the Senate-France political gaining such support from a significant part of the elite gives the Armenian leadership an additional incentive to strengthen its position in the negotiations with Azerbaijan.

Pashinyan is not satisfied with this, he sets new conditions in front of him in order to receive unequivocal support from Russia:

“I hope that the CSTO summit, which will be held in Yerevan on November 23, led by Russia military the bloc will clearly support Armenia’s position and will demand that Azerbaijan’s armed forces withdraw from the positions they occupied in May 2021, from the territory of Armenia. CSTO should have given us clear support… We do not want to incite a war with CSTO-Azerbaijan now. The attitude of Armenian citizens towards the CSTO and the future of our relations will depend on this issue.”

It should be noted that Russian President V.Putin On November 23, he will visit Yerevan and participate in the summit of the CSTO. This trip, of course, support for Armenia and at the same time pressure on Pashinyan is a clear message to the West. In order to strengthen his position and create additional pressure on Azerbaijan, the Prime Minister grabbed Putin’s “weak spot”. Because what happened after the 44-day war military During the conflicts, the CSTO did not show open support for Armenia.

Commenting on the situation to Pressklub.az, security expert Ilham Ismayil said that after the support he received from Russia and France, Nikol Pashinyan speaks more heartily and sternly. “This shows that the issue of peace is in the background”, he added. The expert emphasizes that Pashinyan is no longer talking about the contract, but about the Russian version of the “framework agreement”. “The framework agreement is not a peace agreement, but a document that determines the agreement of the parties on how cooperation in this direction will take place. The terms of the framework agreement are not final and detailed.– the analyst quotes Pashinyan.

“That is, the final point of the Karabakh issue is not reached, it is kept for the next years, and until then, Vardanyan is in charge of Khankendi. Yes, Armenians and their patrons have taken the line of conducting the process in this direction. It turns out that the separatist regime has held a referendum in the territory they control and plans to change the management system. Although the referendum was planned to be held in the spring of next year, it was decided that it will be held in December of this year 20Let this work be done on the 22nd. Purpose the president management system cancellation to create an emergency council and to appoint an “element sent and trained” by Russia, Ruben Vardanya, as the chairman of the emergency council. In such a case, the parliament of the so-called regime also ceases to function, and all power goes into the hands of Ruben Vardanyan, that is, Russia. Russia will also deepen whatever policy it has been pursuing in the Karabakh territory, where it has been located for two years. In other words, putting an end to the conflict will be delayed.”Ilham Ismail emphasized.

The expert adds that in some sense the process and the current scene are clear to us. He believes that the current status quo in the territory controlled by Russian peacekeepers is an election, a referendum way replacing with 10 We must notify the other party in advance that it is against the November agreement:

“But France’s attempts, Russia’s plans, USA Sen. Bob Menendez’s wild protests against the 907th amendment, even against the White House administration, cannot stop the policy we have been pursuing. That is, our policy is the policy of continuing that the Karabakh conflict is over and that the rest of the affairs are our internal affairs. On one condition! Taking into account the new nuances and details of the plans against us, and flexibly and harshly presenting our counter-policy. We should not wait for the plans against us to be realized and then take action. We must take preventive steps. The direction should be directly to Khankendi. We should open a humanitarian office in Khankendi, not France, but ourselves. We must inform the local Armenian population that they will live better as citizens of Azerbaijan in the future, so that they do not use our hostile rhetoric as an excuse. At the same time, we will establish border control on the road to Lachin, withdraw the Armenian armed forces in the shortest possible time, otherwise, military we have to announce that we will take it out. We have other means of influence, and we should bring them up one after the other in the next stages. The foundation of our fundamentally different policy for 2025 should be laid now so that patrons like France and Russia cannot postpone the final point in the Karabakh problem to another five-year period..

Turgut