“The possibility of an attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus is unlikely, but not completely excluded” |
In the near future Russia troops or joint Russia– It is unlikely that the Belarusian group will attack Ukraine from the territory of Belarus, but it is not completely excluded.
This idea Ukraine intelligence, as well as analysts from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
In February, Russian troops were already advancing from the territory of Belarus towards Kiev. The Belarusian army did not directly participate in the invasion, and at the end of March Kyiv and after the retreat from Chernigov, there were no new offensive attempts from the territory of Belarus.
But in recent days, Russia’s troops have invaded Belarus, especially its southern regions military against the background of the news of the gathering of equipment, information about the possible preparation of a new attack began to spread in the media.
Some Telegram channels even called it December 26. Ukraine Sergey Naev, commander of the Combined Forces of the Armed Forces, said on Saturday that one motorized rifle battalion and two tank battalions of Belarus Ukraine was ordered to advance to the regions bordering the state border.
General Intelligence Department of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine chief Kirill Budanov “The New York Times” in an interview with the newspaper, he said that there is no threat of attack at the moment. he Russia and called the current activity of Belarusian troops in Belarus a disinformation campaign.
Noting that the Russian-Belarusian group is not yet ready to attack Ukraine, Budanov did not rule it out in the future.
In an interview with RIA Novosti, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Galuzin called the discussion of the potential participation of a joint Russian-Belarusian military group in the war in Ukraine “false”.
According to him, the task of this group is “to repel a potential enemy if necessary” if it invades the territory of Belarus.
These days, the president of Russia, Vladimir Putin to Minsk for the first time in several years trip did. Putin said that the two countries have reached an agreement on holding joint exercises.
The leader of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, said that the Belarusian army is training to drop “special munitions” (meaning nuclear warheads) on planes and crews.
He also added that Russia has given Belarus S-400 and “Iskander” missile systems, which have already been put into combat mode.
A few days ago, Lukashenka once again accused Ukraine of preparing an attack on Belarus. (Ukraine denied these accusations)
He justified the need to increase the Russian troop grouping in his country by “intensification on the western borders of the Union state”.