“The impasse in Karabakh can be a real basis for a military operation” |
“State Minister” of Karabakh, Ruben Vardanyan, addressed the population on January 8 and informed about the preparation for the introduction of food coupons. News.am website news gives that he also accused some wealthy people of leaving Karabakh during these difficult days.
Without naming names, Vardanyan noted that Karabakh 90% of the population takes the situation calmly, but there are “several unacceptable incidents”.
He said that some people exchange gasoline for bread, while it should be given to the general fund. Supposedly to the ambulances gasoline needed. In addition, the “state minister” accused some store owners of distributing goods to relatives and acquaintances.
“We are all in the same boat and we have to share everything,” he said, adding that Monday food will hold a meeting to resolve the issue of the application of coupons.
On the same day, the “Security Service” of Karabakh appealed to the population, in social networks called not to publish information about the shortage of food and other goods. Supposedly, this Azerbaijan causes great interest of special services.
In addition, it is reported that classes in the schools of the district have been suspended.
In Armenia itself, members of a number of pro-Western organizations on January 8 visited Russia’s 102nd Army in Gyumri. military in front of the base protest organized the action. Although they tried to surround the base, the police did not allow them. The protesters demanded that Russia open the Lachin corridor.
Demonstrators Russia they shouted slogans against it. In their hands, “The place of such an ally is the toilet”, “Russia Turkey and Azerbaijan is an ally”, “No to KTMT!” and held placards with other inscriptions.
According to TASS, the Armenian police Russia military detained dozens of participants of the anti-Russian action, who planned to close the entrances to the base. Action published online by local portals.
Approximately 20Against the unauthorized action with the participation of 0 people “National “Democratic Pole”. The leaders of this movement in the summer of 2016 in the center of Yerevan the police were members of the “Sasna Tsrer” paramilitary organization that seized the base of the regiment.
Of course, these events that happened on the same day have a certain connection with each other. It seems clear that Ruben Vardanyan, who was appointed by the Kremlin, has created a humanitarian crisis in the mountainous part of Karabakh Azerbaijan tries to create the image that his party is responsible. Although both official Baku, as well as environmental activists openly say all these days that anything can be brought from Armenia through the Lachin corridor. It goes without saying that weapons, Armenian soldiers, Azerbaijan except for foreigners without a visa. But somehow they are Azerbaijan do not agree with the legal terms. And as a result information the war continues.
Held near the Russian base in Gyumri protest The action was also partially focused on the demand for the “opening” of the Lachin corridor. And with this, it serves to increase the attention of the media, including foreign media, to this topic.
The question is, how long will all this last? Leaders of separatists in Khankendi and Armenia What exactly do the authorities want to achieve in this regard? What about their “blockade of the corridor” issue in general unit do you have a position?
Political scientist, security expert Inspiration Ismail answered the Press Club’s questions:
– Members of the civil society on the road to Lachin protest the action has started for a month, Karabakh and the conflict has been going on for 35 years. In this sense, the current situation on the Lachin road should not have a long-term effect. The eco-movement is part of a 35-year-old challenge and should logically end with a foregone conclusion. In the current situation, the parties information the war continues. Armenians own national according to their character, they cry in front of the world, “shed tears”, present themselves as a suffering nation, and want to show Azerbaijan as a sinner.
Azerbaijan has announced that it will continue peaceful protests without creating a humanitarian crisis by not allowing the entry of illegal goods into its sovereign territory and the extraction of the country’s natural resources. A civilized solution to the current situation is that Azerbaijan should control the state border at the entrance to the Lachin corridor. In this case, the action of the civilian population is stopped and a border control post is established, as is the case all over the world. Then the border guards of Azerbaijan Russian peacekeepers together with international standards will control the movement through the corridor, prevent the import of illegal goods and the removal of natural resources from the country. However, the separatists do not agree with this demand and continue to resist. In all cases, the question “how long will the situation last” should concern Armenia and the separatists first.
The war has been over for more than two years, but there is no peace between the parties, on the contrary, the conflict is heating up. This is the result of the purposeful policy of Armenia and its main sponsor, Russia. Armenia as the loser, it hopes that the international conditions will change in its interests, while Russia tries to keep the conflict in order to maintain its influence in the South Caucasus. For this, they are artificially delaying the signing of the peace agreement. Although the negotiations conducted in 2022 gave rise to hope for the signing of a peace agreement, the agreement was not signed due to the provocations of Moscow and Yerevan towards the end of the year, and it is not expected to be signed in the near future.
Russia’s sending of “provocative emissary” Ruben Vardanyan to Karabakh and his policy are designed to further aggravate the situation. The result of this policy is that there will be no negotiations between the parties in the near future. This is a dead end issue military can be a real basis for moving to the plane. Although this is difficult in the region where the Russian military contingent is deployed, it is not an exception.
The situation on the road to Lachin strengthened the anti-Russian propaganda in Armenia. It’s no secret, Nicole Pashinyan His government is pro-Western, and the Kremlin knows this, but cannot remove him from power. The separatist regime in Karabakh and Armenia From the current situation on Lachin Road To Azerbaijan they take the same position on the issue of using it against. Their goal is to confront Azerbaijan with international pressure, way is to force to open. We know that too. Action Azerbaijan stopping it without accepting its terms would mean defeat and serve to further embolden the separatists. Therefore, today we are forced to make more flexible diplomatic demands and establish our own control at the border. If the opposite party 10 If he does not agree with the clauses of the Tripartite Declaration signed in November, then we are former Nagorno-Karabakh Karabakh we must make it a condition for the return of Azerbaijani refugees who lived in its territory and were expelled from their homes as a result of ethnic cleansing by the separatists.
Rauf Orujov
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