Can Iran respond to Israel?
Analysts say that on January 28 in Iran military The alleged Israeli drone attack on the facility is a new attempt to deter Tehran.
UNIran has amassed enough enriched uranium to make several nuclear weapons when efforts to restore the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers, which was later unilaterally pulled out by the Trump administration, have failed, according to the United States’ Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
Iran at the same time Russia with military strengthened his ties. of Iran Russia it is said to have equipped its army with combat drones for use in its war in Ukraine. USAintelligence assessments of Iran It may also have sent powerful cruise and ballistic missiles to Moscow.
Last year, many incidents occurred inside Iran. Among them are sabotage and cyber-attacks, murders of members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), scientists and engineers. Tehran blamed Israel for some of these incidents.
“Until last year, Israel’s deterrence strategy had two main aspects: land and weather to prevent the transfer of Iranian weapons and equipment to Syria and Lebanon by targeting its convoys and disrupt its nuclear program by targeting Iran’s nuclear scientists and facilities.” – Visiting fellow of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs Hamidreza Azizi he says.
Tehran is also the President of Syria Bashar al-Assadin, is also an active supporter of the Lebanese armed group “Hezbollah”.
Azizi notes that Israel has not been nuclear inside Iran in the last few months. military objects were attacked. According to him, this is due to the “emergence of a third element” in Israel’s policy towards Iran. news gives
“It seems that these attacks are aimed at sabotaging the production of modern missiles and drones of the Islamic Republic,” – Azizi stressed to Radio Liberty.
USA The media wrote that Israel was behind the attack on the military facility in Isfahan, citing unnamed American intelligence officials. The rocket research and production center was located in that facility. The Pentagon said it was not involved in this attack.
The extent of the damage to the military facility has not been disclosed. of Iran Ministry of Defence said that “in the workshop” explosion it caused only a small amount of damage and caused no deaths. Social in the area in the videos shared in the media explosion has been viewed.
Head of the Offensive Central Intelligence Agency William Burns(William Burns) took place after his visit to Israel. Earlier USA National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan (Jake Sullivan) to Israel trip had done
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken (Anthony Blinken) told reporters during his visit to Israel on January 30 that he was holding talks with Israel’s new right-wing government on “deepening cooperation against Iran’s destabilizing activities in the region and beyond.”
Tehran did not immediately claim responsibility for the attack. Minister of Foreign Affairs Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said that the purpose of the “cowardly drone attack” was to disrupt security within the Islamic Republic.
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskysenior assistant of Mykhailo Podoliakafter his tweet about “explosive night in Iran”. Iran of Ukraine He demanded an explanation from the temporary affairs attorney in Tehran. Podolyak tweeted that “Ukraine warned you,” he added.
of Iran Ali National The “Nournews” website, which is connected to the Security Council, wrote that Podoliak’s tweet was linked to the attack by Kiev. news gives The site warned of “severe consequences”.
The attack worsened Iran’s relations with Western countries due to the brutal suppression of anti-government protests and Russia It happened against the background of the strengthening of cooperation with
Although Iran has admitted that it sent drones to Russia, it said that it did so before Moscow launched an attack on Ukraine. Although Iranian drones were shot down in Ukraine, Moscow denied using Iranian drones in Ukraine.
Azizi says Iran does not have the ability to respond on the same scale. “Probably, Israel knows this and therefore continues these provocations,” – he says.
However, Azizi also added that the Islamic Republic may come to the conclusion that “not responding is a greater threat to its existence” due to strong internal and external pressures.
“We’re not there yet, but the risk is there and it’s becoming more and more real,” – warns Azizi.
In the past, Iran has responded by launching drone strikes on Israeli ships and conducting cyber attacks on Israeli infrastructure. Last year, Iran claimed responsibility for a missile attack on the northern Iraqi city of Erbil. Tehran claimed to have hit a “strategic center” belonging to Israel.