The West and Russia shared their roles in Karabakh – #West #Russia #shared #roles #Karabakh
Russia Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s visit to Baku brought some clarity about the situation in Karabakh. Moscow’s position remains unchanged, Baku It became clear what the maximum compromises in relations with Also Russia Azerbaijan–Armenia confirmed that he was left out of the peace talks and that the Kremlin has come to terms with the current realities.
First of all, Russia To Azerbaijan about benefits.
Closer relations of Armenia with the West, CSTO, European Union his preference for the latter in his choice, as well as Moscow’s rejection of the role of arbiter in peace negotiations, makes the Kremlin cling to Azerbaijan with both hands. That’s why Lavrov was only in Baku, traditionally from here Armenia he did not go to the capital. A few days before the arrival of the Russian minister, Ruben Vardanyan, the Armenian billionaire in Khankendi, was dismissed from the post of “state minister”. this is Azerbaijan it was the request voiced by the leadership at the highest level, and Moscow partially fulfilled this request. This is the current stage of Moscow To Azerbaijan was the biggest concession.
The second constructive voiced by Lavrov offer It was about the possibility of technical control of cargo transported from Lachin road. But he said that this activity Russia should be carried out without prejudice to the current role of peacekeepers. I mean To Azerbaijan they can give the position of supervisor next to their technical equipment. Baku’s demand with Lachin district Armenia is to restore control over the border between, but Russia official stated that it will not be provided.
After Lavrov’s visit, with the moderation of Russian peacekeepers in Karabakh Azerbaijan a meeting was held between the official representatives and representatives of the Armenian community in Khankendi. This was the first meeting aimed at building mutual trust and discussed infrastructure and other similar problems of the region. After the meeting, the leadership of the separatists declared that they have not backed down from the demand for “independence” and that it is not negotiable.
Thus, with the Armenian community within the conditions set by Moscow and with its moderation Azerbaijan negotiations between the authorities were started. This issue is with Azerbaijan USA and European Union was part of the agreement reached during the negotiations between The West, as well as Armenia Karabakh in return for removing the topic from the peace talks Baku– Khankendi demanded the start of discussions. It is the satisfaction of the organization that Toivo Klaar, the representative of the EU South Caucasus, immediately welcomed these discussions news gives
Sergey Lavrov said in Baku that Moscow Azerbaijan and Armenia it is possible to organize a meeting of the ministers of foreign affairs, as well as to revive the activity of the tripartite working group with the participation of the deputy prime ministers. But he will not insist on this matter.
It should be recalled that the last tripartite discussions with the participation of Russia took place in November last year in Sochi with the participation of the leaders. The meeting was marked by sharp contrasts, and the leaders left the talks with Putin in a tense mood. Azerbaijan and Armenia leaders later in Munich USA they came together under the organization of Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and in the process a positive dynamic was created again. According to the statements, preparations are underway for the next meeting in Brussels. Russia is no longer able to block this process, and Lavrov’s statement that “we will not insist” shows Moscow’s desperation.
So what kind of picture do we see:
Azerbaijan-Armenia negotiations are now being conducted without Russia, but with the mediation of the West. A peace agreement and reaching compromises will be possible only in this format.
Baku– The Khankendi negotiations took place without the participation of the West, with the mediation of Russia. The West and Russia, which have been at war with each other for years, have divided their roles in the Azerbaijan-Armenia problem and defined boundaries according to their capabilities: Azerbaijan-Armenia peace, Baku-Khankendi dialogue.
But what does this situation promise to Azerbaijan?
of Armenia Karabakh withdrawal from the request to include the subject in the peace agreement compromises way makes it possible to sign a peace agreement with After this step is taken, negotiations on delimitation and demarcation of borders and opening of communications can begin. It goes without saying that the West will be closely involved in this process.
But the peace agreement Karabakh will not solve the problem. Russia is still strong in the region and has completely monopolized the process by demonstrating its capabilities. In the current conditions, the West has few opportunities to put pressure on the separatist regime in Khankendi, as well as the Armenian authorities have quite limited resources. This issue can be resolved according to the outcome of the discussions between Baku and Moscow. But Lavrov firmly stated in Baku that Moscow is not interested in changing the post-war status quo. That’s why Russia is so strong in the region, the Armenian population of Karabakh Azerbaijan returning to its sovereignty is so problematic.
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