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“Earthquake” in Turkish politics – #Earthquake #Turkish #politics

in Turkey the president and parliament A few days before the official start of the elections, in the opposition camp, “earthquake” happened. The Union of the Nation, which unites 6 parties (CHP, İYİ, DEVA, Future, Saadat, Democratic parties) unit could not identify the candidate. At the meeting held at the office of the Happiness Party on March 3, the Chairman of the IYI Party, Meral Akşener, the CHP leader Kamal He refused to accept Klıçdaroğlu’s candidacy. Aksener, who met members of the Board of Directors of his party, harshly accused the “table of six” at the press conference he held after the meeting at his headquarters. He said that in the elections unit Chairman of Istanbul Municipality as a candidate Akram He wanted Imamoglu or the head of Ankara Municipality Mansur Yavaş to be a candidate. But 5 party leaders rejected this proposal. Aksener stated that he political cannot remain at the table playing the role of trading and notary.

CHP leader Kamal Klıçdaroğlu replied to Meral Akşener that “they are my mayors and they are at the top of their work, they have no intention of becoming a candidate”. It should be noted that other members of the Union of Nations unanimously Kamal of Klıçdaroğlu unit defended his candidacy.

After the departure of M. Akshener from the table, other parties expressed their support for the continuation of the alliance. Also, İmamoğlu and Yavaş, whom IYI Party Chairman called to be candidates, also expressed their support for CHP Chairman’s candidacy.

This incident happened in the opposition camp judge It pleased the AKP. Calls to “return to the shelter” were heard from this camp to M. Akshener. IYI Party has not yet determined what steps it will take and whether it will participate in the elections with its candidate. Today, Aksener met with mayors and refused to make a statement to journalists.

CHP leader Kemal Klıçdaroğlu took action to fill the void created by the IYI Party. In yesterday’s address, he stated that he expressed the interests of all the peoples in Turkey and indirectly asked for support from voters of Kurdish origin, as well as indirectly from the HDP. Before that, he met with the leader of the Left Party, Öndar Işygyalen, and the leader of the left-leaning Labor Party, Ahmed Shik. Later, the party released a statement expressing its support for the single candidate of the opposition.

Yesterday, the Great Unity Party also issued a statement on the events that took place. The party supported the opposition’s participation in the elections with a single candidate, and also announced its intention to participate in the “table of six”.

Thus, Turkey A day after yesterday’s chaos in politics, there is some clarity on how the processes will develop. It can be assumed that the composition of the Union of Nations will expand with smaller parties. Until yesterday, Meral Akşener prevented new parties from joining the Union. He had a strong negative attitude to cooperation with both the left parties and the HDP supported by Kurdish voters. After the IYI Party left the table, it is expected that Salahatt will support the candidate of the People’s Union of HDP, led by Demirtas. Most likely, this party will not participate in the elections with its candidate. According to opinion polls, the HDP Turkey he has about 11-13 percent votes in his society. The rating of the IYI Party was slightly higher than this figure – in the range of 15-18 percent. According to observers, leaving the “table of six” will seriously affect Meral Aksener’s reputation. Local media already write that more than 70 thousand members have left the IYI Party. There are well-known names among them.

M. Akshener’s proposal Akram After being rejected by Imamoglu and Mansur Yavaş, he said that there is a possibility that the IYI Party will participate in the elections with its own candidate. Another possibility is that he will form an alliance with the Chairman of the Homeland Party, Maharram Ince, and the Chairman of the Zafar Party, Umid Ozdağ. M.Ince has already called M.Akshener and gave him the post of prime minister offer did. It should be noted that the rating of these politicians in opinion polls varies between 2-3 percent.

But if the National Union participates in the elections with the candidacy of Kemal Klıçdaroğlu, do they have a chance to succeed? Of course, the second largest party of the bloc – the IYI Party – has hit its chances. In opinion polls conducted before the earthquake, the Union of Nations judge It seemed that he would get 5-7 percent more votes than the Union of the Republic. In the first scenario, if the HDP participates in the elections with its own candidate, it seemed that no candidate could win 50+1 percent of the vote. In the second scenario, if the HDP supported the candidate of the National Union, it was revealed that the single candidate won by winning 52-55 percent of the votes in the first round.

After the earthquake, the situation has changed quite a bit. According to the statements of the rating organizations, which was on the rise before the natural disaster judge The votes of the Union of the Republic decreased by 5-7 percent. On the contrary, the support of the opposition has increased. But after the crisis at the “Six Table”, the current the president There is no doubt that the chances of the government that will participate in the elections with Erdogan’s candidacy will increase. The question arises whether the National Union will be able to recover the lost votes in the coming days. It largely depends on society’s attitude towards Meral Aksener’s decision, as well as whether HDP will support the union’s single candidate.

Turgut

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